655
FXUS64 KMAF 232242
AFDMAF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
542 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 541 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
- Hot temperatures continue through midweek with record heat
possible on Monday.
- The prolonged period of hot temperatures could result in heat
related illnesses. Be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent
breaks in air conditioning or the shade if possible.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
Upper-level high on the order of 597-598 dm has become centered
over southern New Mexico and far west Texas this afternoon. This
feature will remain firmly planted over our region through Monday
and will result in continued hot temperatures and dry conditions
with near record heat possible Monday afternoon. High temperatures
will range between 103-108 degrees across the western Low Rolling
Plains, much of the Permian Basin, southeast New Mexico, Trans
Pecos, and areas along the Rio Grande. These readings will be
within our Heat Advisory criteria range over portions of
southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin, and once again into
the western Low Rolling Plains, so we have issued a Heat Advisory
product for these locations from noon-8 PM CDT (11 AM - 7 PM MDT)
Monday. The August 24th record high temperature at Midland is 103
degrees, which was set in 1936 and there is a good chance we will
at least tie, if not break that record (the latest forecast calls
for 103-104 degrees in the Midland/Odessa area). Early morning
lows may briefly drop into the mid to upper 70s, but a few places
may not get below 80. Stay hydrated and keep in the air
conditioning or shade if possible.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
Upper-level high pressure will remain in place across our region
through Tuesday before perhaps retrograding slightly westward
over the Desert Southwest by mid to late week. Hot temperatures
will persist through Wednesday with highs each day continuing to
range between 100-106 over much of the region. The highest
readings will impact the northeast Basin/western Low Rolling
Plains and locations along the Pecos River Valley and Rio Grande.
Overnight lows mostly range in the 70s, except for readings in
the 60s over higher elevation areas. Shortwave impulses embedded
within the northwest flow aloft on the eastern side of the ridge
could bring isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms to
portions of the area Wednesday into Thursday, with rain chances up
to 30-40% over portions of southeast New Mexico and the northwestern
Permian Basin by Wednesday evening. Temperatures remain above
normal Thursday-Saturday with some locations near or above the
century mark.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in weak return flow, w/a
few high clouds. A few high-based cu are anticipated beginning
late Monday morning invof KHOB.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 79 106 76 105 / 0 0 0 0
Carlsbad 73 105 75 104 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden 76 104 74 103 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Stockton 75 103 74 102 / 0 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 70 96 72 97 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs 73 104 72 103 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa 65 97 64 97 / 0 0 0 0
Midland Intl Airport 78 103 76 102 / 0 0 0 0
Odessa 78 104 77 102 / 0 0 0 0
Wink 76 106 76 104 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Monday for Andrews-Borden-
Dawson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Martin-Midland-
Mitchell-Scurry-Winkler.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Borden-Howard-
Mitchell-Scurry.
NM...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Monday for Central Lea-Eddy
County Plains-Southern Lea.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...99
NWS MAF Office Area Forecast Discussion