000
FXUS64 KMAF 271111
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
511 AM CST Thu Feb 27 2020

.DISCUSSION...

See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions with mostly clear skies are expected at the west
Texas and southeast New Mexico terminals the next 24 hours.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 322 AM CST Thu Feb 27 2020/

DISCUSSION...
The day will start with an upper trough over the Eastern US and a
ridge over the West.  This ridge will slowly shift east flattening
out as it does.  This will result in a period of mild wx for the
region. The next upper trough moves ashore the the CA coast Sunday
before developing into a cut off low that quickly dives south to
the US/MEX border by Monday. This low will pass over NM Tuesday
into W TX Tuesday night before moving off to the east. After that
upper ridge returns.

Clear skies... light wind... and dry airmass overnight resulting in
a chilly start to the morning but conditions will warm quickly.  As
of 09z Marfa was down to 13 degrees but the rest of the area was
in the 20s and 30s. Will be warmer today as highs return to the
60s. Not quite as cold tonight as it has been with lows mainly in
the 30s. On friday highs climb into the 70s as a leeside trough
sets up with temps remaining above normal into Monday. The next
front in the Monday/Tuesday time frame knocks readings back down a
bit.

Rest of this week looks dry but could see some showers and storms
return to the forecast early next week with that cut off low.

FIRE WEATHER...
A drying and warming trend is expected through the weekend. Fuels
will continue to dry each day with min rh/s dropping to 8 to 15
percent across most areas through Sunday. Fire weather concerns
will begin to increase by Saturday across the Guadalupe Mountains
and southeast New Mexico Plains and across southeast New Mexico
and much of west Texas Sunday as drying continues and 20 foot
winds increase.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     62  32  69  38 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       66  31  70  35 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         67  37  74  45 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  66  36  72  43 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 55  34  64  38 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          63  31  67  35 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          57  23  66  30 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           63  32  70  39 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         63  32  70  38 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           65  31  72  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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NWS MAF Office Area Forecast Discussion