000
FXUS64 KMAF 261741
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1141 AM CST Fri Feb 26 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 18Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will continue the next 24 hours. Southwesterly
winds will generally prevail, except for INK/MAF where winds will
shift to the south/southeast this evening, and at FST where winds
will be a bit more variable before shifting to the south tonight.
Winds will become elevated/gusty just beyond the end of the
forecast period, but until then, sustained speeds will remain
around 12kt or less.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 340 AM CST Fri Feb 26 2021/

DISCUSSION...
Zonal flow across the region this morning will become SW aloft
as an upper trough dives down across the Great Basin today and
develops into a cut off low over AZ Sunday.  This low will roll
across NM and W TX late Monday/early Tuesday.  After that will have
brief ridging aloft before a deep closed low tracks across CA and AZ
Wednesday and moves across NM and TX Thursday.

Overnight have low clouds hanging over the east with high clouds
increasing from the SW.  Tatum in the clear air has dropped to 20
degrees as of 09z.  After a chilly day yesterday temperatures will
return to near normal today as a west wind brings highs in the 60s
north of the Pecos river with 70s south of it. Saturday will be even
warmer with 70s nearly areawide. A cold front blows into the area
Sunday early in the day but seems to take most of the day to make it
across the Pecos before pushing through the rest of the area
overnight. Monday looks cold under cloudy skies with highs in the
40s and 50s... but on Tuesday highs in the 60s expected as a S wind
returns.  Wednesday and Thursday a bit warmer with highs in the 60s
and 70s. May see another front next Friday at the end of the
forecast.

On Sunday night there is a chance of light rain mainly east... could
even see some light snow across the northern CWA late.  Rain chances
continue Monday as the cut off low moves across.  Otherwise have
increased wind speeds in the forecast this afternoon for the
Guadalupes... may be a little stronger in the mountains Saturday and
could approach high wind criteria.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     64  41  75  42 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       69  35  76  36 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         71  53  80  56 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  70  47  79  48 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 63  42  68  41 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          65  35  73  36 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          73  34  74  37 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           65  42  76  43 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         66  42  75  42 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           69  38  78  38 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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NWS MAF Office Area Forecast Discussion